XRP has surged 42% in two months yet still sits well below where it started the year, putting buyers in a tricky spot where acting too soon or waiting too long could both cost them.
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XRP(CRYPTO:XRP) has risen about 42% over the last 60 days, jumping from around $1.08 in late July to $1.53 as of September 27, 2026. This puts investors in a familiar position: Should they buy XRP now after this impressive run, or is it wiser to wait for a price drop?
However, while this rally seems substantial compared to summer lows, XRP is stilldown about 17% for 2026and roughly 46% from a year ago. This means buying at $1.53 is better than what anyone who bought on January 1 would pay. So, is it too late to buy, or could waiting lead to a better opportunity?
XRP Still Trades 17% Below Where It Started in 2026
At the start of 2026, XRP traded near $1.85, meaning it would need a gain of around 21% to return to that point. Although XRP has rebounded somewhat over the past 60 days, it has only recovered a fraction of the losses from earlier this year.
XRP does not generate earnings or cash flow, so one of the few ways to evaluate its price is by looking at past trading levels. By this measure, $1.53 is still below the price at the beginning of the year and far beneath last year’s highs, even after the recent rally.
Interestingly, new investors are still entering the market. Recent data from SoSoValue shows that U.S. spot XRP ETFs attracted $75.6 million from September 21 to September 25, a significant increase from just$9.6 million the week before.
XRP’s Rally Has Slowed Just Under Its 50-Week Average
The momentum behind XRP’s rise appears to have slowed. Over the past month, it gained about 9.9%, which is much lower than the climbs seen in July and August. This suggests the initial rush of buyers may be dwindling, with some sellers taking profits.
Currently, XRP’s price has stalled just below its 50-week moving average of approximately $1.56, which represents the average price over the past year. As of September 24,average buyers from the past yearare about 12% in the red, meaning some might decide to sell as XRP moves closer to the prices they paid.
This slower trading pattern suggests XRP could see more erratic moves in the coming weeks. However, it’s hard to predict when a pullback might occur or how substantial it could be.
How Big an XRP Pullback Is Worth Waiting For?
A price dip only makes sense if it significantly improves a buyer’s cost. If XRP retraces its 9.9% monthly gain, it could drop to around $1.39, which is about 9% below the current $1.53. A minor dip, on the other hand, wouldn’t save much for those waiting weeks.
Waiting carries its own risks. If XRP closes above $1.56 for a week, it might continue its upward trend, and patient buyers could end up paying more than $1.53. For long-term investors, this decisionmatters because a longer investment horizon generally benefits more from staying in the market than from trying to time the perfect entry.
Additionally, XRP’s 46% drop over the past year suggests that the amount invested may matter more than the exact entry price. A strategy called dollar-cost averaging—buying equal amounts over several weeks—can help mitigate risk should a pullback occur. Our look atwhere XRP could bottomexplores potential lower levels in more detail.
Is It Too Late to Buy XRP Now?
This perspective could shift if XRP’s one-month gains turn into losses, signaling that the recovery might be losing traction and a bigger pullback could be on the horizon. Conversely, if XRP closes above its 50-week average of $1.56, it may pave the way for a rise back toward $1.85, potentially raising costs for buyers looking for a dip.
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Sam Daodu is a crypto analyst who’s spent nearly a decade making blockchain understandable—no easy task when most whitepapers read like fever dreams. He writes for 24/7 Wall St., covering Bitcoin, altcoins, and crypto market analysis for investors. Before crypto, he was a tech writer (back when explaining “the cloud” was peak innovation). Since 2018, he’s written for CoinTelegraph, Yahoo Finance, The Block, Cryptonews, Zypto, Rain, and more—basically anywhere people want crypto news without the headache. Sam runs MacLabs Marketing, a content agency for crypto brands tired of sounding like AI wrote their website. He also publishes free crypto education on his site for Web3 enthusiasts who think “gas fees” is a typo. When he’s not writing or staring at charts, Sam’s either: – Watching anime (currently convinced One Piece has better tokenomics than most altcoins) – At the gym sculpting himself into a Greek god – Listening to the music your mum warned you only bad boys listen to Connect: LinkedIn | Email | MacLabs Marketing
